Where Biden and Sanders stand in the polls ahead of Tuesday's primaries

Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE and Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) will face each other in four primaries Tuesday as Biden seeks to build a nearly insurmountable lead in the race for the Democratic nomination. 

Biden is riding a wave of momentum after a strong Super Tuesday, including a convincing victory in Michigan’s crucial primary earlier this week, building a roughly 150-delegate lead over his progressive rival.

The former vice president is now looking to sweep all four states voting on Tuesday — Arizona, Florida, Illinois and Ohio — although Sanders will get a chance to try to stop his momentum when the two square off against each other during a debate on Sunday.


Here are what polls show in each of the states voting Tuesday:


Polling shows Biden with a strong lead in Arizona, which will allocate 67 pledged delegates, the smallest haul of the four states voting Tuesday.

An OH Predictive Insights poll released earlier this month showed him with a 28-point lead, and a Univision poll released Friday showed him 17 points ahead of Sanders.

However, Sanders, who has performed well with Hispanic voters in the West in primaries thus far, has a 5-point edge over Biden among Latinos in the Univision survey. 

Sanders lost the Arizona primary to Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonWhite House accuses Biden of pushing ‘conspiracy theories’ with Trump election claim Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness Trayvon Martin’s mother Sybrina Fulton qualifies to run for county commissioner in Florida MORE in 2016 by about 15 points.



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Polls show Biden with a massive advantage in Florida, raising the prospect that the former vice president can deliver a heavy blow to Sanders’s White House ambitions by taking the lion’s share of the Sunshine State’s 219 delegates.

Biden has a 38-point lead in a recent Emerson College survey and leads Sanders by over 40 points in Gravis and University of North Florida polls from this month. The former vice president reached a high-water mark with a 55-point lead over Sanders in a St. Pete Polls survey. 

Florida plays to several of Biden’s demographic advantages — the state is home to a good share of African American and older voters that have helped fuel his primary successes.

And while Sanders has done well among Latino voters, Hispanics in Florida are diverse and widely considered more conservative than others in the country, raising the prospect that his brand of democratic socialism may not be as palatable as it was in other states. 

Biden has racked up endorsements from across the state, including from Nikki Fried, the commissioner of agriculture and consumer services in Florida and the only Democrat elected statewide.

Sanders lost the Florida primary by more than 30 points in 2016. 


Biden also appears to be in a strong position heading into the Land of Lincoln’s primary, holding double-digit leads over Sanders. 

Gravis and Emerson College polls both released this week showed the former vice president with 38- and 21-point advantages, respectively. 

Illinois’s primary, the second-largest of the four contests, will allocate 155 pledged delegates.

Biden has also gotten the endorsements of Illinois players like Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot (D). 

Sanders narrowly lost the Illinois primary by under 2 points in 2016.


Polling is scarcer in the Buckeye State, but surveys still show Biden performing well in Ohio, which will award 136 delegates.

An Emerson College poll released this week showed Biden with a 22-point lead over Sanders in Ohio, a state both candidates are hoping to do well to prove their strengths with white working class voters who defected to President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE in 2016. 

Observers believe that Biden’s victory in Michigan, which was largely fueled by white voters both with and without college degrees, could leak into Ohio, another Rust Belt state.

Sanders lost Ohio’s primary by about 13 points against Clinton.

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